2022-10-04 23:24:54
Most Profitable Share in India: How To Identify Such A Business [2022] – GETMONEYRICH | Thepinkstocks | Stock Market Today | Stock Market Live News Update
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Tuesday, October 4, 2022

Most Profitable Share in India: How To Identify Such A Business [2022] – GETMONEYRICH

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[List of Profitable Businesses] When we are searching for the most profitable share, what we are actually looking for? We are searching for those stocks that have a very profitable underlying business. How one can identify such shares?

Our search can follow the following two approaches:

  • First: It is based on historical price appreciation. In this approach, one can check the past price growth rate, and accordingly decide if the stock has been profitable or not. Example: The market price growth of TCS has grown by 2.4 times in the last 5 years. Here we are assuming that all stocks that have seen high price growth have a profitable business. But this assumption may not be true all the time. Hence, judging the profitability of stocks based only on their price appreciation is like incomplete work.
  • Second: It is based on a profitability analysis of the underlying business. This article will focus on identifying the most profitable share based on this approach. We’ll use the profitability ratios of companies and compare them with their respective industry benchmarks.

List of Highly Profitable Businesses

(Updated on 16-Sep-2022)

SL Name Price (Rs.) Sub-Sector ROE-5Y (%) RoCE-5Y (%) OPM-5Y (%) GMR Score
1 NESCO 585.1 Commercial Complexes 15.6 20.63 78.21 75.42
2 HINDZINC 281.5 Non-Ferrous Metal 24 30.05 59.85 74.85
3 PAGEIND 48,847.00 Readymade Garments 46.36 64.57 20.54 74.17
4 MANORG 601 Misc.Chem. 38.06 38.6 21.1 73.75
5 THYROCARE 720.4 Diagnostics Services 25.94 37.45 42.28 73.43
6 NAUKRI 4,119.30 E-Commerce 46.18 52.04 40.99 73.07
7 MUTHOOTFIN 1,030.50 Misc. Fin.services 25.98 15.69 78.31 71.69
8 TATAELXSI 8,716.95 Software 32.82 47.4 29.12 71.43
9 Hawkins Cookers 5,766.85 Kitchenware & Appliances 48.47 57.72 14.6 71.05
10 ANANDRATHI 664.8 Misc. Fin.services 52.73 69.49 36.86 70.54

Most Profitable Business – The Concept

The answer must be simple, right? High-profit margin companies must be the choice. What do you think? There are two issues with this simplistic definition of profitability:

  • First, if we’ll focus only on high-margin companies, we’ll miss out on other good companies. Why? Because all companies do not operate at high margins. The reason for their low margins could be the inherent characteristic of the sector/industry within which they operate.
  • Second, companies that display lower margins may sometime prove better than other high-margin companies. How? Because what matters more is the degree of profitability. For example, in an industry whose average profitability is 6%, a company operates at 15% levels. It is a very good number. It is better than a company with a 20% margin in an industry average of 18%, right? So a part of our focus should also be on the degree of profitability. It is more critical than the absolute number. Why? Because its high degree of profitability is symbolic of the company’s economic moat (competitiveness).
Most Profitable Share - Industry Average vs company's ratios (Degree of profitability)

What is the logic? It takes a lot of business acumen to operate a company at an above-average profitability level. Measuring a company’s profitability is easy. We can look at their profitability ratios and decide. But more important here is to know if the company is operating at the above-average profitability levels. How to know it? By comparing the company’s ratios with that of its industry averages.

A company that displays numbers higher than its industry’s average can be called as profitable. To mark the most profitable share of an industry, we’ll look deeper. How? By analyzing the degree of profitability.

How do we identify the most profitable share?

We have written an algorithm that can filter profitable stocks based on the above concept. Our screening tool, the Stock’s Engine executes this algorithm and presents it as a report.

Most Profitable Share - Prebuilt screener

Allow me to give you a brief into the algorithm of the pre-built screener of the Stock’s Engine.

#1. The Ratios

The algorithm makes use of four profitability ratios to do the analysis. Why only four? Because I think these four ratios cover almost all aspects of the profitability of a business.

  • ROE: This ratio inspects the profitability of a company from the shareholder’s perspective. It is the ratio between the company’s net profit and shareholder’s capital. It highlights the efficiency with which the company is using the shareholder’s funds to generate profits. Read more about ROE.
  • ROCE: It analyzes profitability from the perspective of the effective use of capital. It is the ratio between the company’s EBIT and all capital employed by the company to yield profits. In ROE, only shareholder funds are used for analysis. But in the actual world, companies also use debt. Employed capital considers both sources of capital to analyze the company’s profitability. Read more about ROCE.
  • Operating Margin: It checks if the company’s operations are profitable enough or not. It is a true indicator of an inherently profitable business. The company’s top managers may not look at ROE and ROCE numbers, but the operating margin is critical for them. Read more about operating margin.
  • PAT Margin: It analyzes the profitability of a company from the stock market’s perspective. For the stock market, more important is the net profit (PAT). Why? Because generally dividend payouts are based on PAT. Even the price valuation of the company’s stocks is evaluated with respect to the net profit (EPS). Read more about net profit margin here.

These four ratios in combination can do near complete profitability scrutiny of any company. A company that scores high on all these numbers will get a high score.

#2. Calculation of The Industry Averages

This part was more challenging for the algorithm. There were three issues to deal with:

  • Market Share of Each Company: The computation of the industry’s average numbers is not as simple as finding a mathematical mean of a few numbers. Why? Because it is also essential to consider the size of individual companies. The company must get its due weightage corresponding to the size it occupies in its own industry.
  • Basis To Judget The Size of the Industry: To do this, we can use multiple metrics. The most logical ones are revenue and net profit. If we want to consider the market estimates of the size, we can also take market capitalization.

What we are trying to do? To calculate the industry average, we are calculating the weighted average of profitability. Suppose there are only two companies in an industry. Company A’s market share is 65%, and it operates at a 12% margin. Company B’s market share is 35% and it operates at a 15% margin. In this case, the overall profitability of the industry will be 65% of 12% + 35% of 15%.

Though the maths look simple, when there are over 150+ industries and about 4,000 number stocks to deal with, it gets tricky. Add to it another layer of sizing each industry based on multiple metrics like revenue, net profit, market capitalization, etc.

But to get a near-accurate industry average number, this kind of computation is necessary. I’m sure a manual calculation of this nature will not be easy. Hence, to save time, you can also use The Stock’s Engine to check the most profitable share of the Indian stock market.

I would also like to highlight that, companies operating in an inherently profitable industry automatically get an extra advantage. The algorithm gives that initial push to these companies.

Stock Engine - Analyze Stock Here

#2. Comparison Between The Company & Its Industry

The are two layers of comparison done by the algorithm of The Stock’s Engine to screen profitable stocks. It first compares the profitability number of the industry with their respective stocks. The second layer calculates the degree of overperformance by a company compared to its industry’s average figures.

The result is that it filters and scores those companies whose profitability numbers are better than the industry averages. Moreover, it also scores companies based on their degree of profitability. Please note that both these analysis is done based on the four ratios as explained above (ROE, ROCE, Operating Margin, and Net Margin).

These two layers of scoring generate a GMR Score for each stock. The stock with the highest GMR Score (usually 100) can be tagged as the most profitable share of the Indian stock market.

Conclusion…

This is an approach that I personally use to identify the most profitable shares for myself. What is the proof that these are good stocks and will perform well in the future? Frankly speaking, there is no proof to confirm future performance. But I believe that this kind of profitability analysis can never let its analyst down.

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